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Top Standard Decks for Magic Spotlight: The Avatar

▼ Summary

– The Standard metagame has evolved significantly since the World Championship, with new decks like Selesnya Landfall rising while others like Temur Otters have nearly vanished.
– Izzet Lessons, the breakout deck from the World Championship, has plateaued and is now challenged by decks with favorable matchups against it, such as Selesnya Landfall, Dimir Midrange, and Sultai Reanimator.
– Selesnya Landfall is a major new archetype that uses an engine of Icetill Explorer and Fabled Passage for late-game value and Mightform Harmonizer for sudden, one-shot kills.
– The analysis is based on over 1,000 successful tournament decks, using a “winner’s metagame share” metric that blends popularity and performance to identify the top contenders.
– Upcoming major Standard events include Magic Spotlight: The Avatar on January 9-11, featuring a $50,000 prize pool and Pro Tour invitations, highlighting the format’s current competitive activity.

The competitive Standard landscape continues to evolve as players prepare for major events like the upcoming Magic Spotlight: The Avatar tournaments in Lyon and Atlanta. Following the impactful results of Magic World Championship 31, the metagame has shifted, presenting a diverse and dynamic field for competitors. This analysis provides a snapshot of the dominant decks, blending performance data and popularity from recent tournaments to highlight the strategies poised for success.

To understand the current environment, I examined over a thousand successful decklists from Magic Online events and Regional Championship Qualifiers throughout December. By evaluating each archetype’s share of rectified net wins, a metric combining match wins and prevalence, a clear picture of the top contenders emerges. Several previously popular decks, such as Temur Otters and Bant Airbending, have nearly disappeared, while others have surged forward. The most striking development is the rapid rise of Selesnya Landfall, an innovative deck that leverages landfall triggers for both overwhelming value and sudden, game-ending attacks.

The “Other” category encompasses numerous strategies each holding less than one percent of the winner’s metagame share, including Temur Lessons, Golgari Graveyard, Orzhov Demons, and various aggressive and midrange builds. The following nine archetypes, however, have each secured at least five percent of the metagame and represent the format’s most influential forces.

Izzet Lessons commands 14.1% of the winner’s metagame. This deck, built around a dense suite of Lesson cards from the Avatar: The Last Airbender set, was the breakout star of the World Championship. Its engine uses Gran-Gran to turn Accumulate Wisdom into a potent draw spell and Combustion Technique into efficient removal. The most successful versions incorporate Artist’s Talent and Monument to Endurance, creating a self-sustaining value loop that powered Seth Manfield to his World Championship victory.

Selesnya Landfall holds 12.3% and is the format’s most significant recent innovation. The core engine pairs Icetill Explorer with Fabled Passage or Escape Tunnel to rapidly mill lands and fuel flashbacked copies of Esper Origins for card advantage. The deck’s most feared element is Mightform Harmonizer, which can enable a one-shot kill from an otherwise innocuous board state. This potential forces opponents to constantly maintain blockers, a task complicated by the prevalence of sorcery-speed interaction like Boomerang Basics.

Dimir Midrange sits at 12.2%, disrupting opponents with a blend of removal, discard, and countermagic while applying pressure with evasive creatures like Spyglass Siren and Deep-Cavern Bat. Kaito, Bane of Nightmares provides resilient card advantage, particularly against Izzet Lessons’ creature-focused removal. The deck has adapted well, with main-deck Tishana’s Tidebinder returning to answer Monument to Endurance and sideboard Annul and Strategic Betrayal offering targeted hate.

Sultai Reanimator comprises 8.3% of the metagame. This graveyard combo deck aims to mill itself and reanimate Superior Spider-Man, which enters as a copy of Bringer of the Last Gift to end the game abruptly. Piloted to a Top 8 finish at the World Championship, it’s well-positioned against Izzet Lessons but must navigate sideboard graveyard hate like Soul-Guide Lantern.

Izzet Looting claims 7.8%, differentiating itself from other Izzet builds by maximizing draw-discard effects. It uses looters to untap Tiger-Seal, power up Duelist of the Mind, and enable Delirium for Fear of Missing Out. Its sideboard frequently includes Soul-Guide Lantern, which serves the dual purpose of disrupting graveyard strategies and enabling its own synergies.

Jeskai Control holds 7.1%, aiming to control the game with countermagic like No More Lies, removal like Lightning Helix, and sweepers like Day of Judgment. Some builds have adopted main-deck Rest in Peace to combat the format’s graveyard engines, shifting their win conditions to cards like Jeskai Revelation and Wan Shi Tong, Librarian.

Mono-Red Aggro makes up 6.9%, adhering to its classic philosophy of deploying haste creatures and direct damage spells as quickly as possible. Recent lists have revived Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might to amplify the damage from cards like Scalding Viper, providing a powerful mid-game finisher.

Golgari Ouroboroid occupies 5.8%, built around a mana-ramp core of Llanowar Elves, Gene Pollinator, and Badgermole Cub. It uses black for disruptive creatures like Deep-Cavern Bat and Lively Dirge to reliably find its namesake Ouroboroid, which can create an overwhelming board state.

Izzet Blink rounds out the list at 5.1%, focusing on creating Otter tokens with Stormchaser’s Talent or Ral, Crackling Wit and boosting them with instant and sorcery spells. It utilizes Splash Portal and Get Out to generate additional value by blinking key permanents.

The post-World Championship metagame has successfully adapted, with poor matchups against Izzet Lessons fading and new strategies like Selesnya Landfall rising. The format appears healthy and diverse, with room for further innovation. As players compete in ongoing RCQs and look ahead to the Regional Championships, the upcoming Magic Spotlight: The Avatar events offer a $50,000 prize pool and Pro Tour invitations, setting the stage for an exciting weekend of high-level Standard play.

(Source: Magic)

Topics

standard metagame 98% izzet lessons 95% selesnya landfall 93% deck analysis 92% dimir midrange 90% sultai reanimator 88% metagame evolution 87% izzet looting 85% jeskai control 83% mono-red aggro 82%